Pit Creature
Well-known member
- Messages
- 143
- Location
- Newcastle upon Tyne
If that 800 times figure was true then it would be around 0.125 death rate, which is along the same lines as the flu.They've only tested people at the hospital so you can't rely on that figure. Also as the incubation period is long by the time they realise someone has it the figures are wrong. I read a peer reviewed paper that calculated the current cases as approx 800 times the current death rate. 250 ish died today, So around 200000 current cases in UK.
I know of 3 or 4 people that have it (only one of which has been tested, as they tell you to isolate at home, the one tested is in ICU) so that's probably not a bad estimate.